作文：
issue:
governmental offical是应该rely on 自己的判断还是应该unquestioning carry out people's will 额，记得不太全啊。
出自题库50
Government officials should rely on their own judgment rather than unquestioningly carry out the will of the people they serve.
政府官员应该依靠自己的判断做决定，而不是不假思索地遵从大众的意愿。
argument:
Old Dairy Industries 产高脂肪和胆固醇的产品，然后什么调查显示80%人desire low-fat的食品，然后就说，毫无疑问，这个工厂不会盈利。然后建议持有这个公司股票的人抛出股票，别人也别买这个公司股票。
出自题库76
"Over 80 percent of the respondents to a recent survey indicated a desire to reduce their intake of foods containing fats and cholesterol,and today low-fat products abound in many food stores.Since many of the food products currently marketed by Old Dairy Industries are high in fat and cholesterol,the company's sales are likely to diminish greatly and company profits will no doubt decrease.We therefore advise Old Dairy stockholders to sell their shares,and other investors not to purchase stock in this company."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the advice and the argument on which it is based are reasonable.Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the advice.
最近一次调查中超过80%的回应者表达了他们想减少含脂肪和胆固醇的食品的愿望，现在很多食品商店都提供丰富的低脂肪食品。由于Old Dairy Industries当前生产的很多产品都有很高的脂肪和胆固醇含量，该公司的销量有可能严重下降，其盈利无疑会减少。因而我们建议Old Dairy的贡持有者抛出他们所持的股份，其他投资者也不应购买该公司的股份。
Issue:
People should undertake risky action only after they have carefully considered its consequences.
Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the recommendation and explain your reasoning for the position you take. In developing and supporting your position, describe specific circumstances in which adopting the recommendation would or would not be advantageous and explain how these examples shape your position.
Argument:
The following appeared in a memo to the board of directors of a company that specializes in the delivery of heating oil.
"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season, that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we can safely predict that this region will experience an increased demand for heating oil during the next five years."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.