GRE写作成为横在中国学生的理想和现实之间的一大障碍，因此，如何攻克写作这道屏障，成为摆在我们面前的首要任务。
First of all, the argument relies on two threshold assumptions: that people who use the city's
water have complied with the rules, and that area industry is subject to the rules in the first
place. Yet the author supplies no evidence to substantiate either assumption. In other words, if
area industries have not in fact been rationing water, the author's condusion that water
rationing is a contributing cause of the recent decline in industry growth would be indefensible.
A second problem with the argument is that it overlooks other possible explanations for the
decline in industry growth. Perhaps the decline is the result of a general economic recession
that has also impacted businesses in areas not subject to water rationing. Or perhaps local or
state regulations unrelated to water rationing are instead responsible for the slowdown.
Without accounting for such possibilities, the author cannot justify the conclusion that the
water rationing is the cause of the slowdown.
A third problem with the argument is that it unjustifiably assumes that stopping water rationing
would help reverse the decline in industry growth. It is entirely possible that this course of
action would actually exacerbate the decline. Specifically, perhaps the lack of water has been
the primary factor in the slowdown. If so, and if the rationing stops, water might become even
more scarce depending on current drought conditions, in which case the slowdown would
worsen.
In conclusion, the argument is unconvincing as it stands. To strengthen it the business
leader must provide strong evidence that no other factors were responsible for the slow down
in industry growth, and that industry has complied with the rules in the first place. Finally, to
better evaluate the argument we would need more information about current water availability
in the area, so that we can assess how stopping water rationing would affect this availability.
Argument 102
The following appeared in a magazine article about planning for retirement.
"Because of its spectacular natural beauty and consistent climate, Clearview should be a top
choice for anyone seeking a place to retire. As a bonus, housing costs in Clearview have fallen
significantly during the past year, and real estate taxes remain lower than those in neighboring
towns. Nevertheless, Clearview's mayor promises many new programs to improve schools,
253
streets, and public services. Retirees in Clearview can also expect excellent health care as
they grow older, since the number of physicians in the area is far greater than the national
average."
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