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Moreover, the cited statistic involves only "reported" accidents in Butler County. It is possible
that an increasingly large percentage of accidents are going unreported in that county.
In conclusion, the editorial fails to convince me that Prunty County should emulate Butler
County's road-safety measures. To strengthen the argument the author must account for all
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other factors that might influence the accident rate on roads in both counties. To better assess
the impact of the new speed limit on road safety, I would need more statistical information
about the accident rate on Prunty's major roads, collected over a longer time period. I would
also need to know what percentage of road accidents in Butler County go unreported.
Argument 17
The following appeared in a letter from the manager of a rock band named Double Rice.
"One year ago, tickets for Double Rice's concerts in stadiums around the country took, on
average, at least 24 hours to sell out, if they sold out at all. But the band has been enjoying a
surge in nationwide popularity among 14 to 25 year olds, and the 30,000 tickets for a recent
concert in Megalopolis sold out in 12 minutes. Clearly the ticket sales in Megalopolis are a
result both of the band's increased popularity and of the advertising campaign run in
Megalopolis by the Ad Lib advertising agency. Thus, in order to ensure that the band's success
in Megalopolis is repeated across the country, the band should hire Ad Lib to duplicate the
Megalopolis ad campaign on a nationwide scale."
The manager of the rock band Double Rice (DR) concludes that the band should hire the
advertising agency Ad Lib to promote the band throughout the country. To justify this
conclusion the manager cites Ad Lib's campaign to promote a recent DR concert at a large
venue in Megalopolis. Tickets for this concert sold out in 12 minutes, whereas one year ago
tickets for DR concerts at large venues rarely sold out in less than 24 hours--if at all. The
manager reasons that the Megalopolis success must have been attributable to both Ad Lib's
efforts and DR's popularity. The manager's argument is flawed in several critical respects.
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